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Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. . If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Hall of Very Good. Please logout and login again. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. Adam Wainwright biography. He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. ago. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American. Perhaps his national profile and general likability increases due to his seemingly inevitable second act as a broadcasterWainwright received rave reviews as a postseason broadcaster last yearand this media visibility helps him in a media-driven contest such as Hall of Fame balloting. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. Sorry we could not verify that email address. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. St. Louis Cardinals news fromFanSided Daily, Former San Francisco Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval heading to LBPRC, Aroldis Chapmans time with New York Yankees comes to inglorious end, Wild Card wrap-up: Mets, Cardinals regular-season paper tigers, Opening Odds for MLB Division Series (Every Team's Odds to Win the ALDS, NLCS), St. Louis Cardinals: Oli Marmol's perfect quote about Wild Card Game 2, Phillies-Cardinals: Bryce Harper wants just 1 thing from Yadier Molina, Decision points: The key moments from Friday's MLB Wild Card games. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. The two were teammates from 2005-07, and Rolen was out at third base when Wainwright recorded the final out of the 2006 World Series for the St. Louis Cardinals.. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. Decade-plus Eagles writer. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. Adam Wainwright is the quintessential "Hall of Fame candidate for Cardinals fans" Hall of Fame candidate of the current team. Adam Parrish Wainwright was born on August 30, 1981, in Brunswick, Georgia. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. 2020 has given us many. The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Sure there are. . We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. 5th stage: 60-day IL. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). . It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. Your email address will not be published. He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. For relievers, Im using the WAR-and-WPA hybrid stat via which Ive examined recent candidates such as Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Billy Wagner. Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. But the Cardinals and the pitcher Cardinals changed the schedule for his first start; Flaherty threw on the backfields instead. All of the starters have a JAWS of at least 42.0; roughly speaking, thats the equivalent of seven six-win seasons, a point at which I start to take mid-career pitchers seriously. Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. Between that, his three Cy Youngs, and eight All-Star appearances, hes probably punched his ticket even before getting to 200 wins (hes at 187). His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). No Gavin Lux -- big problem. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. More From This Game. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. by Retrosheet. Kimbrel has an option for next year, which I think is likely to be exercised, so he wont be a free agent until 2023. PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. For this dispatch, Ill first turn my attention to the pitchers, then backtrack to cover a handful of others position players and pitchers in a more lightning-round fashion. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) What would Adam Wainwright need to do in 2022 to deserve Hall of Fame induction? While it seems impossible to envision it now, Wainwright was not always a member of the St. Louis Cardinals. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. Injury? Adam Wainwright will make history as he will become the seventh pitcher in St. Louis Cardinals history to start a game after his 41st birthday. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. The performance was unsurprisingly unsustainable. It may rile up some traditionalists who are married to the idea pitchers must win 300 games and strike out 3,000 batters to be considered Hall-worthy. It is not as though a 6.4 WAR season alone would do the trickwhile this would put Wainwright over 50 bWAR and at 56.4 fWAR (assuming he hit 6.4 on both metrics), the impact on Wainwrights peak would be much smaller, since he was reasonably good in his seventh best season under both metrics (3.0 bWAR, 3.9 fWAR). Its available on your preferred podcast platform. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Hell need more to get his name in the HOF conversation, namely multiple Cy Young award victories and a pivotal role in a Boston World Series championship. That's an average of 174 innings per year. He was hit hard four balls hit off him registered exit velocities higher than 104 mph, including a 112.1 mph solo moonshot of a homer off the bat of Jos Abreu. Adam Wainwright Stats. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). Its a shame because he was off to a great start to his season, with 1.9 WAR and a 195 OPS+ in just 36 games. I found Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Baseball-Reference.com Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. But at least it wont be historically egregious. To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. Strikeouts are booming like never before. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Adam Wainwright has a big decision to make this offseason. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? Required fields are marked *. Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons.